From: <Lagret av Windows Internet Explorer 8>
Subject: Economic trends for Norway and foreign countries
Date: Thu, 5 Jan 2012 17:57:20 +0100
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<H1 class=3Dstikktittel>Economic trends for Norway and abroad</H1>
<H2 class=3Dtittel>Norwegian economy makes moderate headway</H2>
<P class=3Dingress>The trend growth of the past two years is expected to =
continue=20
for another few years, before an economic upturn in 2014. Unemployment =
is set to=20
increase in the years ahead, and thereafter remain more or less =
unchanged. </P>
<P>The very weak impetus from the global economy is offset by higher =
growth in=20
domestic demand. Interest rates are expected to fall slightly going =
forward, and=20
will not increase until 2013, when a very modest increase is =
expected.</P>
<H3 class=3Dmellomtittel>Long-term downturn in the global economy</H3>
<P>Great uncertainty surrounds the global economy, particularly in =
relation to=20
how the EU is handling the debt crisis currently being experienced by a =
number=20
of the member states. Growth is weak throughout the entire OECD and =
growth in=20
the emerging economies is also showing signs of decreasing. Our =
projections are=20
based on the assumption that the debt crisis will not develop into a new =
global=20
financial crisis, but that the downturn in the OECD area will =
nevertheless last=20
until 2014. </P>
<H3 class=3Dmellomtittel>Weak export development</H3>
<P>Indications are that Norwegian exports are unlikely to show much =
growth going=20
forward. This is due to low growth in demand in the global market, =
higher wage=20
growth in Norway than in competing countries and a stronger krone. The =
global=20
market prices of key Norwegian export products are also expected to =
fall.</P>
<H3 class=3Dmellomtittel>Lower interest rates </H3>
<P>The base rate was last increased in May, and was subsequently 2.25 =
per cent.=20
Turbulence in international financial markets has contributed to =
Norway=92s=20
three-month money market rate increasing to well above the base rate. =
Given this=20
high premium, low inflation, low international money market rates and =
prospects=20
of a relatively moderate upturn in the Norwegian level of activity, =
Norges Bank=20
is likely to reduce the base rate by 0.5 percentage points on 14 =
December, and=20
the money market rate in 2012 is expected to remain at 2.8 per cent. =
Through=20
2013 and 2014, we expect the base rate to be increased and the money =
market rate=20
to increase gradually until reaching just over 4 per cent at the end of =
2014.=20
The average interest on loans in the banks is thus expected to reach 5.6 =
per=20
cent in 2014.</P>
<H3 class=3Dmellomtittel>High income growth in households</H3>
<P>The high income growth in 2011 to date has not led to any marked =
increase in=20
household consumption. This is expected to change going forward, =
assisted by=20
lower interest rates and interest rate expectations. The income growth =
in=20
households is expected to remain high in the years ahead, but not quite =
as high=20
as this year since the real wage growth is likely to be lower. =
Consumption will=20
to a large extent follow income developments. Per capita, the =
projections=20
indicate that growth in consumption will increase gradually from 1 per =
cent this=20
year to just over 3 per cent in 2014. </P>
<H3 class=3Dmellomtittel>Lower growth in housing market going forward =
</H3>
<P>Following a period of marked increases in house prices and housing=20
investments, growth was lower in the third quarter. A considerable =
increase in=20
the population and high real income growth, in addition to continuing =
low=20
interest rates, mean potential for further growth in prices and =
investments, but=20
slightly more modest than in the first half of 2011. The housing =
investments are=20
expected to increase by almost 22 per cent this year, followed by a =
clear fall,=20
leading to growth in 2013 and 2014 of around 4 per cent. The growth in =
house=20
prices is estimated to be 8.3 per cent this year, and is expected to =
fall to=20
around 6 per cent in the next three years. </P>
<H3 class=3Dmellomtittel>Increase in business investments </H3>
<P>Investments in the petroleum sector are expected to increase by as =
much as 15=20
per cent in 2011. Marked growth is also expected next year, with =
investments=20
expected to remain high in 2013 and 2014. The investments in Norwegian =
mainland=20
industries have shown a marked increase this year, but growth is =
expected to=20
fall considerably in the years ahead. </P>
<H3 class=3Dmellomtittel>More expansive fiscal policy after 2012</H3>
<P>The Ministry of Finance estimates that money spent from petroleum =
activities=20
in 2011 will constitute 3.2 per cent of the capital in the Government =
Pension=20
Fund Global at the start of the fiscal year. This figure may turn out to =
be even=20
lower. In our projections, the demand impulses from the fiscal policy =
mainly=20
follow the estimate in the National Budget in October, but with higher =
growth in=20
public demand in 2012. A continued high oil price will contribute to a =
clear=20
increase in the Pension Fund. If the authorities were to follow the =
fiscal=20
rule=92s 4 per cent path, the result would be very expansive impulses in =
the=20
subsequent years, unless turbulence in the international financial =
markets=20
pulled down the fund=92s value substantially. A trade-off between the=20
consideration to businesses exposed to competition and improved welfare =
services=20
and infrastructure, in addition to future challenges faced in relation =
to the=20
ageing population, leads us to believe that the fiscal policy will be =
more=20
expansive in 2013 and 2014. Nevertheless, the distance to the 4 per cent =
path is=20
expected to increase by around 1 percentage point until 2014. </P>
<H3 class=3Dmellomtittel>Slight increase in unemployment </H3>
<P>The turnaround to growth in the GDP for mainland Norway in autumn =
2009=20
gradually contributed to a marked increase in employment, and =
unemployment has=20
fallen slightly since the end of 2010. The increase in employment is =
expected to=20
continue going forward, but at a slightly slower rate. The workforce is =
also=20
likely to increase, both as a result of a larger share of the population =
in=20
various age groups wanting to work and an increase in the population. =
This is=20
expected to result in a slight increase in unemployment next year, which =
will=20
remain almost unchanged for the remainder of the projection period. </P>
<H3 class=3Dmellomtittel>Moderate wage growth and low inflation</H3>
<P>The average wage increase in 2011 is expected to be 4.2 per cent, =
compared=20
with 3.7 per cent in 2010. A slight increase in unemployment, weak =
profitability=20
developments in the business sector and low inflation will contribute to =
a clear=20
fall in wage growth, to 3.4 per cent in 2012. Our projections show that =
wage=20
growth will subsequently see a small, gradual increase, with growth in =
2014=20
reaching the same level as 2011. Low wage growth, higher productivity =
growth,=20
reduced international raw material prices and a strong krone will all =
contribute=20
to inflation remaining low. However, the price-curbing impulses will =
diminish=20
gradually, which in turn will lead to slightly higher inflation of =
almost 2 per=20
cent in 2014. </P>
<DIV>
<TABLE border=3D0>
  <CAPTION class=3Dtabelltittel>Main economic indicators 2001-2014. =
Accounts and=20
  forecasts. Percentage change from previous year unless otherwise =
noted.=20
  (Corrected 9 December 2011) </CAPTION>
  <THEAD>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dsep colSpan=3D80></TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TH class=3Dlevel11>&nbsp;</TH>
    <TH rowSpan=3D2>2001</TH>
    <TH rowSpan=3D2>2002</TH>
    <TH rowSpan=3D2>2003</TH>
    <TH rowSpan=3D2>2004</TH>
    <TH rowSpan=3D2>2005</TH>
    <TH rowSpan=3D2>2006</TH>
    <TH rowSpan=3D2>2007</TH>
    <TH rowSpan=3D2>2008</TH>
    <TH rowSpan=3D2>2009</TH>
    <TH rowSpan=3D2>2010*</TH>
    <TH style=3D"BORDER-BOTTOM: #000000 1px solid" class=3Dmultispan=20
      colSpan=3D4>Forecasts</TH></TR>
  <TR>
    <TH class=3Dlevel11>&nbsp;</TH>
    <TH>2011</TH>
    <TH>2012</TH>
    <TH>2013</TH>
    <TH>2014</TH></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dsep colSpan=3D80></TD></TR></THEAD>
  <TBODY>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel11>Demand and output</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Consumption in households etc.</TD>
    <TD>2.1</TD>
    <TD>3.1</TD>
    <TD>3.2</TD>
    <TD>5.4</TD>
    <TD>4.4</TD>
    <TD>5.0</TD>
    <TD>5.4</TD>
    <TD>1.8</TD>
    <TD>0.0</TD>
    <TD>3.7</TD>
    <TD>2.3</TD>
    <TD>3.4</TD>
    <TD>4.2</TD>
    <TD>4.4</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>General government consumption</TD>
    <TD>4.6</TD>
    <TD>3.1</TD>
    <TD>1.3</TD>
    <TD>1.2</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>1.9</TD>
    <TD>2.7</TD>
    <TD>2.7</TD>
    <TD>4.3</TD>
    <TD>1.7</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>2.0</TD>
    <TD>2.9</TD>
    <TD>3.2</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Gross fixed investment</TD>
    <TD>-1.1</TD>
    <TD>-1.1</TD>
    <TD>0.8</TD>
    <TD>11.1</TD>
    <TD>13.5</TD>
    <TD>9.8</TD>
    <TD>11.4</TD>
    <TD>0.2</TD>
    <TD>-7.5</TD>
    <TD>-5.2</TD>
    <TD>7.4</TD>
    <TD>5.3</TD>
    <TD>3.0</TD>
    <TD>3.9</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel2>Extraction and transport via pipelines</TD>
    <TD>-4.6</TD>
    <TD>-5.4</TD>
    <TD>15.9</TD>
    <TD>10.4</TD>
    <TD>19.2</TD>
    <TD>4.0</TD>
    <TD>6.1</TD>
    <TD>5.2</TD>
    <TD>3.4</TD>
    <TD>-9.0</TD>
    <TD>15.0</TD>
    <TD>10.4</TD>
    <TD>2.3</TD>
    <TD>2.3</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel2>mainland Norway</TD>
    <TD>3.9</TD>
    <TD>2.3</TD>
    <TD>-2.9</TD>
    <TD>10.6</TD>
    <TD>12.2</TD>
    <TD>10.5</TD>
    <TD>13.3</TD>
    <TD>-1.3</TD>
    <TD>-13.2</TD>
    <TD>-2.5</TD>
    <TD>8.1</TD>
    <TD>3.6</TD>
    <TD>3.2</TD>
    <TD>4.5</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel3>Industries</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD>
    <TD>4.0</TD>
    <TD>-11.2</TD>
    <TD>10.6</TD>
    <TD>18.6</TD>
    <TD>15.2</TD>
    <TD>21.9</TD>
    <TD>0.8</TD>
    <TD>-23.1</TD>
    <TD>-0.2</TD>
    <TD>4.7</TD>
    <TD>2.8</TD>
    <TD>1.3</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel3>Housing</TD>
    <TD>8.1</TD>
    <TD>-0.7</TD>
    <TD>1.8</TD>
    <TD>16.3</TD>
    <TD>9.7</TD>
    <TD>4.0</TD>
    <TD>2.7</TD>
    <TD>-9.0</TD>
    <TD>-8.2</TD>
    <TD>-2.2</TD>
    <TD>21.6</TD>
    <TD>6.7</TD>
    <TD>4.0</TD>
    <TD>4.3</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel3>General government</TD>
    <TD>2.7</TD>
    <TD>1.7</TD>
    <TD>12.5</TD>
    <TD>3.9</TD>
    <TD>2.0</TD>
    <TD>9.7</TD>
    <TD>8.0</TD>
    <TD>4.5</TD>
    <TD>7.4</TD>
    <TD>-7.5</TD>
    <TD>-0.7</TD>
    <TD>0.9</TD>
    <TD>6.5</TD>
    <TD>9.2</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Demand from Mainland Norway<SUP>1</SUP></TD>
    <TD>3.0</TD>
    <TD>3.0</TD>
    <TD>1.6</TD>
    <TD>5.1</TD>
    <TD>4.9</TD>
    <TD>5.2</TD>
    <TD>6.3</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>-1.6</TD>
    <TD>2.0</TD>
    <TD>3.1</TD>
    <TD>3.1</TD>
    <TD>3.7</TD>
    <TD>4.1</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Stockbuilding<SUP>2</SUP></TD>
    <TD>-1.8</TD>
    <TD>0.2</TD>
    <TD>-0.8</TD>
    <TD>1.6</TD>
    <TD>-0.1</TD>
    <TD>0.9</TD>
    <TD>-0.1</TD>
    <TD>-0.1</TD>
    <TD>-2.1</TD>
    <TD>1.9</TD>
    <TD>-0.2</TD>
    <TD>-0.4</TD>
    <TD>0.0</TD>
    <TD>0.0</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Exports</TD>
    <TD>4.3</TD>
    <TD>-0.3</TD>
    <TD>-0.1</TD>
    <TD>1.0</TD>
    <TD>0.5</TD>
    <TD>-0.8</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>0.1</TD>
    <TD>-4.2</TD>
    <TD>1.8</TD>
    <TD>-0.6</TD>
    <TD>0.4</TD>
    <TD>0.5</TD>
    <TD>1.2</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel2>Crude oil and natural gas</TD>
    <TD>6.6</TD>
    <TD>2.4</TD>
    <TD>-0.8</TD>
    <TD>-0.7</TD>
    <TD>-5.0</TD>
    <TD>-6.6</TD>
    <TD>-2.5</TD>
    <TD>-1.0</TD>
    <TD>-2.0</TD>
    <TD>-4.8</TD>
    <TD>-4.1</TD>
    <TD>-0.5</TD>
    <TD>-1.1</TD>
    <TD>-1.1</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel2>Traditional goods</TD>
    <TD>1.8</TD>
    <TD>0.8</TD>
    <TD>3.6</TD>
    <TD>3.5</TD>
    <TD>5.3</TD>
    <TD>6.2</TD>
    <TD>9.2</TD>
    <TD>3.2</TD>
    <TD>-8.0</TD>
    <TD>2.6</TD>
    <TD>1.7</TD>
    <TD>0.4</TD>
    <TD>0.1</TD>
    <TD>1.3</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Imports</TD>
    <TD>1.7</TD>
    <TD>1.0</TD>
    <TD>1.2</TD>
    <TD>9.7</TD>
    <TD>7.9</TD>
    <TD>9.1</TD>
    <TD>10.0</TD>
    <TD>3.9</TD>
    <TD>-12.5</TD>
    <TD>9.9</TD>
    <TD>2.8</TD>
    <TD>3.1</TD>
    <TD>4.8</TD>
    <TD>5.2</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel2>Traditional goods</TD>
    <TD>4.6</TD>
    <TD>3.0</TD>
    <TD>5.6</TD>
    <TD>12.9</TD>
    <TD>8.0</TD>
    <TD>11.6</TD>
    <TD>8.3</TD>
    <TD>0.2</TD>
    <TD>-11.8</TD>
    <TD>7.1</TD>
    <TD>6.3</TD>
    <TD>4.4</TD>
    <TD>4.7</TD>
    <TD>5.6</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Gross domestic product</TD>
    <TD>2.0</TD>
    <TD>1.5</TD>
    <TD>1.0</TD>
    <TD>4.0</TD>
    <TD>2.6</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD>
    <TD>2.7</TD>
    <TD>0.0</TD>
    <TD>-1.7</TD>
    <TD>0.7</TD>
    <TD>1.6</TD>
    <TD>2.0</TD>
    <TD>1.9</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel2>Mainland Norway</TD>
    <TD>2.0</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>1.3</TD>
    <TD>4.5</TD>
    <TD>4.4</TD>
    <TD>5.0</TD>
    <TD>5.3</TD>
    <TD>1.5</TD>
    <TD>-1.6</TD>
    <TD>1.9</TD>
    <TD>2.6</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD>
    <TD>2.7</TD>
    <TD>3.3</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel3>Manufacturing</TD>
    <TD>-1.0</TD>
    <TD>-0.7</TD>
    <TD>2.9</TD>
    <TD>5.1</TD>
    <TD>3.9</TD>
    <TD>2.6</TD>
    <TD>3.5</TD>
    <TD>3.7</TD>
    <TD>-7.4</TD>
    <TD>2.4</TD>
    <TD>1.6</TD>
    <TD>-0.8</TD>
    <TD>-0.5</TD>
    <TD>0.4</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel11>Labour market</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Total hours worked, Mainland Norway</TD>
    <TD>-1.6</TD>
    <TD>-0.9</TD>
    <TD>-2.1</TD>
    <TD>1.9</TD>
    <TD>1.5</TD>
    <TD>3.3</TD>
    <TD>4.3</TD>
    <TD>3.5</TD>
    <TD>-2.0</TD>
    <TD>0.8</TD>
    <TD>1.5</TD>
    <TD>0.9</TD>
    <TD>0.8</TD>
    <TD>1.5</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Employed persons</TD>
    <TD>0.3</TD>
    <TD>0.4</TD>
    <TD>-1.2</TD>
    <TD>0.5</TD>
    <TD>1.3</TD>
    <TD>3.5</TD>
    <TD>4.1</TD>
    <TD>3.2</TD>
    <TD>-0.4</TD>
    <TD>-0.1</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>1.2</TD>
    <TD>1.2</TD>
    <TD>1.3</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Labor force<SUP>3</SUP></TD>
    <TD>0.5</TD>
    <TD>0.7</TD>
    <TD>-0.1</TD>
    <TD>0.3</TD>
    <TD>0.8</TD>
    <TD>1.9</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD>
    <TD>3.4</TD>
    <TD>0.0</TD>
    <TD>0.5</TD>
    <TD>1.0</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>1.3</TD>
    <TD>1.5</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Participation rate (level)<SUP>3</SUP></TD>
    <TD>73.5</TD>
    <TD>73.5</TD>
    <TD>72.9</TD>
    <TD>72.6</TD>
    <TD>72.4</TD>
    <TD>72.0</TD>
    <TD>72.8</TD>
    <TD>73.9</TD>
    <TD>72.8</TD>
    <TD>71.9</TD>
    <TD>71.5</TD>
    <TD>71.3</TD>
    <TD>71.2</TD>
    <TD>71.2</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Unemployment rate (level)<SUP>3</SUP></TD>
    <TD>3.5</TD>
    <TD>3.9</TD>
    <TD>4.5</TD>
    <TD>4.5</TD>
    <TD>4.6</TD>
    <TD>3.4</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD>
    <TD>2.6</TD>
    <TD>3.2</TD>
    <TD>3.6</TD>
    <TD>3.3</TD>
    <TD>3.6</TD>
    <TD>3.7</TD>
    <TD>3.7</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel11>Prices and wages</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Wages per standard man-year</TD>
    <TD>4.8</TD>
    <TD>5.7</TD>
    <TD>4.5</TD>
    <TD>3.5</TD>
    <TD>3.3</TD>
    <TD>4.1</TD>
    <TD>5.4</TD>
    <TD>6.3</TD>
    <TD>4.2</TD>
    <TD>3.7</TD>
    <TD>4.2</TD>
    <TD>3.4</TD>
    <TD>3.7</TD>
    <TD>4.2</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Consumer price index (CPI)</TD>
    <TD>3.0</TD>
    <TD>1.3</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD>
    <TD>0.4</TD>
    <TD>1.6</TD>
    <TD>2.3</TD>
    <TD>0.8</TD>
    <TD>3.8</TD>
    <TD>2.1</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD>
    <TD>1.3</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>1.6</TD>
    <TD>1.9</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>CPI-ATE<SUP>4</SUP></TD>
    <TD>2.6</TD>
    <TD>2.3</TD>
    <TD>1.1</TD>
    <TD>0.3</TD>
    <TD>1.0</TD>
    <TD>0.8</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>2.6</TD>
    <TD>2.6</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>1.0</TD>
    <TD>1.5</TD>
    <TD>1.6</TD>
    <TD>1.9</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Export prices, traditional goods</TD>
    <TD>-1.8</TD>
    <TD>-9.2</TD>
    <TD>-0.9</TD>
    <TD>8.5</TD>
    <TD>4.3</TD>
    <TD>11.4</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD>
    <TD>3.0</TD>
    <TD>-6.2</TD>
    <TD>5.5</TD>
    <TD>8.1</TD>
    <TD>-2.4</TD>
    <TD>0.5</TD>
    <TD>2.6</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Import prices, traditional goods</TD>
    <TD>-1.5</TD>
    <TD>-7.1</TD>
    <TD>0.0</TD>
    <TD>2.7</TD>
    <TD>0.4</TD>
    <TD>4.1</TD>
    <TD>3.7</TD>
    <TD>4.2</TD>
    <TD>-1.8</TD>
    <TD>-0.5</TD>
    <TD>4.6</TD>
    <TD>0.2</TD>
    <TD>0.4</TD>
    <TD>1.5</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Housing prices<SUP>5</SUP></TD>
    <TD>7.1</TD>
    <TD>5.0</TD>
    <TD>1.7</TD>
    <TD>10.1</TD>
    <TD>8.2</TD>
    <TD>13.7</TD>
    <TD>12.6</TD>
    <TD>-1.1</TD>
    <TD>1.9</TD>
    <TD>8.3</TD>
    <TD>8.3</TD>
    <TD>6.5</TD>
    <TD>5.5</TD>
    <TD>5.6</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel11>Income, interest rates and excange rate</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Household real income</TD>
    <TD>0.0</TD>
    <TD>8.0</TD>
    <TD>4.6</TD>
    <TD>3.3</TD>
    <TD>7.8</TD>
    <TD>-6.4</TD>
    <TD>6.3</TD>
    <TD>3.9</TD>
    <TD>3.9</TD>
    <TD>3.5</TD>
    <TD>5.1</TD>
    <TD>3.6</TD>
    <TD>4.0</TD>
    <TD>3.7</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Household saving ratio (level)</TD>
    <TD>3.1</TD>
    <TD>8.4</TD>
    <TD>9.0</TD>
    <TD>7.0</TD>
    <TD>9.8</TD>
    <TD>-0.5</TD>
    <TD>0.9</TD>
    <TD>3.5</TD>
    <TD>6.8</TD>
    <TD>6.3</TD>
    <TD>8.6</TD>
    <TD>8.6</TD>
    <TD>8.5</TD>
    <TD>7.9</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Money market rate (level)</TD>
    <TD>7.2</TD>
    <TD>6.9</TD>
    <TD>4.1</TD>
    <TD>2.0</TD>
    <TD>2.2</TD>
    <TD>3.1</TD>
    <TD>5.0</TD>
    <TD>6.2</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD>
    <TD>2.9</TD>
    <TD>2.8</TD>
    <TD>3.1</TD>
    <TD>3.8</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Lending rate, banks (level)<SUP>6</SUP></TD>
    <TD>8.8</TD>
    <TD>8.5</TD>
    <TD>6.5</TD>
    <TD>4.2</TD>
    <TD>3.9</TD>
    <TD>4.3</TD>
    <TD>5.7</TD>
    <TD>7.3</TD>
    <TD>4.9</TD>
    <TD>4.5</TD>
    <TD>4.8</TD>
    <TD>4.8</TD>
    <TD>5.0</TD>
    <TD>5.6</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Real after-tax lending rate, banks (level)</TD>
    <TD>3.3</TD>
    <TD>4.8</TD>
    <TD>2.2</TD>
    <TD>2.5</TD>
    <TD>1.3</TD>
    <TD>0.7</TD>
    <TD>3.3</TD>
    <TD>1.5</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>0.9</TD>
    <TD>2.1</TD>
    <TD>2.0</TD>
    <TD>2.0</TD>
    <TD>2.1</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Importweighted krone exchange rate (44=20
      countries)<SUP>7</SUP></TD>
    <TD>-3.1</TD>
    <TD>-8.5</TD>
    <TD>1.3</TD>
    <TD>3.0</TD>
    <TD>-3.9</TD>
    <TD>0.7</TD>
    <TD>-1.8</TD>
    <TD>0.0</TD>
    <TD>3.3</TD>
    <TD>-3.7</TD>
    <TD>-2.6</TD>
    <TD>-0.6</TD>
    <TD>-1.1</TD>
    <TD>-0.6</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>NOK per euro (level)</TD>
    <TD>8.05</TD>
    <TD>7.51</TD>
    <TD>8.00</TD>
    <TD>8.37</TD>
    <TD>8.01</TD>
    <TD>8.05</TD>
    <TD>8.02</TD>
    <TD>8.22</TD>
    <TD>8.73</TD>
    <TD>8.01</TD>
    <TD>7.80</TD>
    <TD>7.69</TD>
    <TD>7.61</TD>
    <TD>7.56</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel11>Current account</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Current balance (bill. NOK)</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;247.5</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;192.3</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;195.2</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;220.6</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;314.5</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;357.7</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;287.4</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;408.3</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;254.5</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;342.4</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;425.8</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;402.8</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;359.6</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;350.3</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Current balance (per cent of =
GDP)<SUP>9</SUP></TD>
    <TD>16.1</TD>
    <TD>12.6</TD>
    <TD>12.3</TD>
    <TD>12.6</TD>
    <TD>16.1</TD>
    <TD>16.4</TD>
    <TD>12.5</TD>
    <TD>15.9</TD>
    <TD>10.8</TD>
    <TD>13.6</TD>
    <TD>15.7</TD>
    <TD>14.3</TD>
    <TD>12.3</TD>
    <TD>11.4</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel11>International indicators</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Exports markets indicator</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>2.1</TD>
    <TD>2.7</TD>
    <TD>7.8</TD>
    <TD>7.3</TD>
    <TD>9.5</TD>
    <TD>5.5</TD>
    <TD>1.2</TD>
    <TD>-10.7</TD>
    <TD>10.9</TD>
    <TD>5.2</TD>
    <TD>1.5</TD>
    <TD>3.1</TD>
    <TD>4.2</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Consumer price index, euro-area</TD>
    <TD>2.3</TD>
    <TD>2.2</TD>
    <TD>2.1</TD>
    <TD>2.1</TD>
    <TD>2.2</TD>
    <TD>2.2</TD>
    <TD>2.2</TD>
    <TD>3.3</TD>
    <TD>0.3</TD>
    <TD>1.7</TD>
    <TD>2.6</TD>
    <TD>1.6</TD>
    <TD>1.3</TD>
    <TD>1.5</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Money market rate, euro(level)</TD>
    <TD>4.3</TD>
    <TD>3.3</TD>
    <TD>2.3</TD>
    <TD>2.1</TD>
    <TD>2.2</TD>
    <TD>3.1</TD>
    <TD>4.3</TD>
    <TD>4.6</TD>
    <TD>1.2</TD>
    <TD>0.8</TD>
    <TD>1.4</TD>
    <TD>1.1</TD>
    <TD>1.2</TD>
    <TD>2.1</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dlevel1>Crude oil price NOK (level)<SUP>8</SUP></TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;223</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;198</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;201</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;255</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;356</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;423</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;422</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;536</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;388</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;484</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;623</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;555</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;565</TD>
    <TD>&nbsp;595</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dsep colSpan=3D80></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE border=3D0>
  <TBODY>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop =
width=3D"1%"><SUP>1</SUP>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop>Consumption in households and =
non-profit=20
      organizations + general government consumption + gross fixed =
capital=20
      formation in mainland Norway.</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop =
width=3D"1%"><SUP>2</SUP>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop>Change in stockbuilding. Per cent =
of=20
  GDP.</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop =
width=3D"1%"><SUP>3</SUP>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop>According to Statistics Norway's =
labour=20
      force survey(LFS). Break in data series in 2006.</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop =
width=3D"1%"><SUP>4</SUP>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop>CPI adjusted for tax changes and =
excluding=20
      energy products.</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop =
width=3D"1%"><SUP>5</SUP>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop>Break in data series in =
2004.</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop =
width=3D"1%"><SUP>6</SUP>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop>Yearly average.</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop =
width=3D"1%"><SUP>7</SUP>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop>Increasing index implies =
depreciation.</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop =
width=3D"1%"><SUP>8</SUP>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop>Average spot price Brent =
Blend.</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop =
width=3D"1%"><SUP>9</SUP>&nbsp;</TD>
    <TD class=3Dfootnote vAlign=3Dtop>Corrected 9 December =
2011.</TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dkilde colSpan=3D2><B>Source:&nbsp;</B>Statistics Norway. =
The=20
      cut-off date for information was 6. =
December.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>
<HR>

<P class=3Dcopy>Published 8 December 2011 <A title=3DCopyright=20
href=3D"http://www.ssb.no/include/copyright_en.html" =
target=3D_self>=A9</A> <A=20
href=3D"http://www.ssb.no/english/">Statistics Norway</A> =
</P></BODY></HTML>

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